Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.000596 0.000677 0.000763 0.000861 0.000969 0.001084 0.001215
2025-12-28 0.000483 0.000598 0.000728 0.000885 0.001068 0.001274 0.001522
2026-01-04 0.000418 0.000549 0.000703 0.000897 0.001132 0.001405 0.001744
2026-01-11 0.000360 0.000498 0.000668 0.000890 0.001167 0.001499 0.001923
2026-01-18 0.000314 0.000456 0.000638 0.000881 0.001195 0.001580 0.002084
2026-01-25 0.000283 0.000430 0.000623 0.000889 0.001241 0.001683 0.002272
2026-02-01 0.000254 0.000403 0.000604 0.000890 0.001276 0.001771 0.002441
2026-02-08 0.000221 0.000366 0.000568 0.000864 0.001272 0.001805 0.002542
2026-02-15 0.000194 0.000335 0.000538 0.000842 0.001272 0.001845 0.002647
2026-02-22 0.000175 0.000314 0.000521 0.000837 0.001293 0.001910 0.002788
2026-03-01 0.000159 0.000297 0.000507 0.000835 0.001318 0.001981 0.002936
2026-03-08 0.000142 0.000277 0.000488 0.000824 0.001328 0.002030 0.003056
2026-03-15 0.000127 0.000257 0.000467 0.000810 0.001333 0.002073 0.003169
2026-03-22 0.000120 0.000252 0.000469 0.000831 0.001390 0.002192 0.003392
2026-03-29 0.000112 0.000244 0.000466 0.000842 0.001434 0.002292 0.003589
2026-04-05 0.000102 0.000230 0.000451 0.000836 0.001449 0.002350 0.003727
2026-04-12 0.000092 0.000216 0.000437 0.000828 0.001461 0.002404 0.003859
2026-04-19 0.000086 0.000209 0.000433 0.000835 0.001497 0.002494 0.004046
2026-04-26 0.000079 0.000200 0.000425 0.000836 0.001522 0.002567 0.004210
2026-05-03 0.000069 0.000183 0.000402 0.000811 0.001504 0.002574 0.004275
2026-05-10 0.000061 0.000169 0.000383 0.000791 0.001494 0.002592 0.004355
2026-05-17 0.000056 0.000161 0.000373 0.000786 0.001508 0.002647 0.004492
2026-05-24 0.000051 0.000153 0.000365 0.000784 0.001526 0.002710 0.004643